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Optimising Corporate ROI through Advanced Business Research

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Organization news and financial news, analysis, viewpoint and data covering the 6 Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

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Economic development throughout the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to speed up in 2026, with the region projected to exceed its 2025 performance regardless of soft oil earnings and continuous international unpredictabilities. According to a brand-new Oxford Economics research study briefing, GCC GDP growth is expected to increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, up from 4 percent in 2025, showing a resistant nonenergy sector, strong consumer dynamics, and slowly enhancing oil output.

However the current projections suggest that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to regain momentum, buoyed by strengthening domestic need and a broadly stable worldwide background. The report highlights GCC consumers as a significant driver of the region's financial performance heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing real disposable earnings are expected to fuel a surge in consumer spending across the Gulf.

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Credit growth is also forecast to remain raised as access to financial services widens. With GCC reserve banks expected to follow expected US Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the region's dollar pegs, obtaining costs are likely to decrease, giving homes and organizations further motivation to invest and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the area's strength, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook presents a mixed photo.

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This could weigh on firsthalf development, particularly for economies more dependent on oil extraction. However, Oxford Economics projects a rebound later in 2026, with Opec+ members expected to resume raising production as inventories tighten and worldwide demand improves. Qatar, meanwhile, stands apart as a local outperformer, with considerable growths in gas production and exports anticipated to lift its overall economic efficiency.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 spending plan prepares for a 6 per cent cut in capital expenditure as the kingdom aims to narrow its financial deficit by 2 percentage points. The report keeps in mind that these cuts may not materialise totally if countercyclical spending steps are activated to support development. By contrast, more diversified economies such as the UAE and Qatar are anticipated to continue advancing their advancement agendas.

In spite of shortterm risks connected to oil costs and international demand, the GCC's 2026 economic outlook is specified by strength in fundamentals: durable customers, robust nonenergy sectors, enhancing oil characteristics, and strategic financial preparation. With these elements aligning, the area is getting ready for one of its most balanced periods of expansion recently anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP growth.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council regional economies are expected to stay resilient in 2026, driven by strong domestic need and a broadly stable global economy, according to an analysis. In its latest report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the real gross domestic product of the GCC area is expected to broaden by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the predicted 4 percent this year.

United States trade policy under President Donald Trump has actually had no significant effect on local development, and non-energy sectors have actually sustained their robust momentum," said Oxford Economics. It added: "Meanwhile, oil production has actually slowly increased, supplying an increase to the area's economies. We anticipate GCC development will increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center stated that economic growth in the region is set to speed up to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by expanding non-oil sectors.

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Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of total GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the area's ongoing progress towards diversity. According to Oxford Economics, GCC consumers will be standout performers in 2026 and are expected to surpass their worldwide peers.

In December, the IMF even more said that headline inflation is expected to stay below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, near to 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and somewhat above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit growth is expected to stay elevated in the GCC region throughout 2026, as access to monetary services is anticipated to grow and financing is projected to be supported by more cuts in interest rates."Owing to their currency pegs to the US dollar, GCC central banks are expected to follow the US Federal Reserve by relieving financial policy further, which in turn will lower debt maintenance costs and enhance disposable income and demand," said the report.

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