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To reverse a years of weakening total factor productivity, local labour market policy is moving from simple task development to managing active workforce transitions. Governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to gear up workers for emerging roles. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style paths are ending up being more common as companies integrate AI tools into daily workflows.
With oil costs forecasted to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local federal governments are intensifying their concentrate on expenditure discipline and private capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is pivoting toward the monetisation of state-owned assets in logistics, energies, and desalination to redirect funds towards higher-impact financial investments. While loaning via sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to money strategic deficits, the focus remains on enhancing non-oil earnings frameworks.
PwC Middle East financial policy and method partner Jing Teow stated: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now concentrated on shipment. In 2026, the concern is strengthening financial resilience through more protected trade and investment relationships, efficient AI release, managed workforce shifts and disciplined fiscal policy in a more difficult and fragmented international environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's financial expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, resistant domestic demand and renewed investment momentum, according to the most recent ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to outshine most international regions peers next year, with regional GDP projection to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is forecasted to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and increasing financial investment in technology and AI-related infrastructure.
Although oil incomes will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is expected to increase once again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it mentioned. Saudi Arabia will remain a significant contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by commercial expansion and policy reforms, consisting of reduced foreign ownership rules that intend to stimulate more financial investment. The fiscal deficit is forecasted to widen to 5.6% of GDP next year amid softer oil rates, while the current five-year lease freeze in Riyadh aims to reduce inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also positioned for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourism, trade and monetary services stay key development drivers, supported by population development and sustained domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is expected to select up again in the second half of 2026, matching continuous financial investment in facilities, technology and international trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, stated: "This quarter's outlook strengthens how far the GCC has can be found in structure varied, resilient and globally competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Financial Expert and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, said: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are entering 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is gaining rate, supported by robust need and increasing financial investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to take advantage of solid domestic basics, a sharp uplift in federal government costs and sustained diversification efforts.
How to Optimize Middle East Corporate PlanningWhat differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not merely the acceleration of technological change, though that acceleration is genuine, but rather a basic shift in how business develop of their GCCs' function. The is anticipated to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this development masks a more profound change.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss obligation, and add to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will act like internal startups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with worldwide service outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents maybe the single most substantial tactical recalibration in the GCC model's advancement.
This week, we're convening more than 3000 meetings in between investors and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're bringing together financiers, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the area, and what follows, consisting of the expansion and ongoing development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing role in global networks of capital and trade.
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